True Forex Funds Risk of Ruin Calculator

    Historical TFF rule analysis. Calculate the survival odds of your strategy against True Forex Funds's 10% drawdown rule before paying the evaluation fee.

    Last reviewed 2026-04-17
    Hungary

    Pass your evaluation. Protect your funded account.

    Free classic calculator below. For 10,000-path Quick Test against True Forex Funds's exact drawdown rule, with the recommended risk level to maximize pass probability, open the app.

    Quick Test in the app

    Public rules only. Educational, not affiliated with any prop firm. Rules change: verify with your firm before trading.

    Your strategy vs True Forex Funds's rules

    True Forex Funds offers 3 sizes from $25,000 to $100,000

    1%
    50%
    1.5:1

    Survival grade

    A

    Ruin probability

    0.6%

    Losers to bust

    10(5 to hit daily)

    Your strategy has a positive edge of 25.0% per trade. Survival odds look strong, but Monte Carlo simulation against real market data will give you a more realistic picture.

    About True Forex Funds's rules

    True Forex Funds was a major prop firm whose evaluation rules became reference points across the industry. While operational status has shifted, the rule structure (10% max, 5% daily) remains educational.

    Key risk rule

    Historical 10/5 structure. Useful as a baseline reference when comparing newer firms with similar rule sets.

    AccountSizeMax DDDailyProfit Target
    $25K Account (historical)$25,00010%5%8%
    $50K Account (historical)$50,00010%5%8%
    $100K Account (historical)$100,00010%5%8%

    Rules summarized from publicly published information as of 2026-04-17. Always verify current terms directly with True Forex Funds.

    Why most True Forex Funds traders fail

    The 10% drawdown ceiling looks generous in isolation. The math says otherwise. At 2% risk per trade, you bust after just 5 consecutive losers. With a 50% win rate, that sequence happens roughly once every 32 trades — and most evaluations require enough activity that you'll see it.

    True Forex Funds's static drawdown is more forgiving than trailing rules, but the daily loss limit is the silent killer. Most evaluation failures happen on a single bad day, not from accumulated drawdown.

    The fix is structural, not tactical. Reducing risk per trade from 2% to 1% cuts your expected ruin probability by roughly 75%. Reducing it to 0.5% effectively eliminates rule-based failure for most positive-edge strategies.

    Run real Monte Carlo simulation

    This calculator uses the classical risk of ruin formula. For 10,000-path Monte Carlo Quick Test against real market volatility, with True Forex Funds's drawdown rule applied and the recommended risk level to maximize pass probability, use the iOS app.