FundedNext Risk of Ruin Calculator

    Stellar and Evaluation survival. Calculate the survival odds of your strategy against FundedNext's 10% drawdown rule before paying the evaluation fee.

    Last reviewed 2026-04-17
    Dubai, UAE

    Pass your evaluation. Protect your funded account.

    Free classic calculator below. For 10,000-path Quick Test against FundedNext's exact drawdown rule, with the recommended risk level to maximize pass probability, open the app.

    Quick Test in the app

    Public rules only. Educational, not affiliated with any prop firm. Rules change: verify with your firm before trading.

    Your strategy vs FundedNext's rules

    FundedNext offers 4 sizes from $15,000 to $200,000

    1%
    50%
    1.5:1

    Survival grade

    A

    Ruin probability

    0.6%

    Losers to bust

    10(5 to hit daily)

    Your strategy has a positive edge of 25.0% per trade. Survival odds look strong, but Monte Carlo simulation against real market data will give you a more realistic picture.

    About FundedNext's rules

    FundedNext is a UAE-based prop firm offering multiple evaluation tracks including Stellar Lite, Stellar 1-Step, and traditional 2-Step. Each has different drawdown and profit target combinations.

    Key risk rule

    10% max, 5% daily on Stellar 2-Step. The 1-Step variant compresses risk into a single phase, raising effective ruin probability.

    AccountSizeMax DDDailyProfit Target
    $15K Stellar 2-Step$15,00010%5%8%
    $50K Stellar 2-Step$50,00010%5%8%
    $100K Stellar 2-Step$100,00010%5%8%
    $200K Stellar 2-Step$200,00010%5%8%

    Rules summarized from publicly published information as of 2026-04-17. Always verify current terms directly with FundedNext.

    Why most FundedNext traders fail

    The 10% drawdown ceiling looks generous in isolation. The math says otherwise. At 2% risk per trade, you bust after just 5 consecutive losers. With a 50% win rate, that sequence happens roughly once every 32 trades — and most evaluations require enough activity that you'll see it.

    FundedNext's static drawdown is more forgiving than trailing rules, but the daily loss limit is the silent killer. Most evaluation failures happen on a single bad day, not from accumulated drawdown.

    The fix is structural, not tactical. Reducing risk per trade from 2% to 1% cuts your expected ruin probability by roughly 75%. Reducing it to 0.5% effectively eliminates rule-based failure for most positive-edge strategies.

    Run real Monte Carlo simulation

    This calculator uses the classical risk of ruin formula. For 10,000-path Monte Carlo Quick Test against real market volatility, with FundedNext's drawdown rule applied and the recommended risk level to maximize pass probability, use the iOS app.