Fidelcrest Risk of Ruin Calculator
Micro and Pro Trader survival math. Calculate the survival odds of your strategy against Fidelcrest's 5% drawdown rule before paying the evaluation fee.
Pass your evaluation. Protect your funded account.
Free classic calculator below. For 10,000-path Quick Test against Fidelcrest's exact drawdown rule, with the recommended risk level to maximize pass probability, open the app.
Public rules only. Educational, not affiliated with any prop firm. Rules change: verify with your firm before trading.
Your strategy vs Fidelcrest's rules
Fidelcrest offers 4 sizes from $15,000 to $200,000
Survival grade
F
Ruin probability
99%
Losers to bust
5(2 to hit daily)
Your strategy has a positive edge of 25.0% per trade. Edge is positive, but ruin probability is high. Reducing risk per trade is the fastest fix.
About Fidelcrest's rules
Fidelcrest is a Cyprus-based prop firm offering Micro Trader and Pro Trader programs with both Aggressive and Normal risk profiles. Aggressive accounts allow 10% drawdown, Normal allow 5%.
Key risk rule
Two risk profiles: Normal (5/2) and Aggressive (10/5). Normal accounts demand much lower per-trade risk to maintain survival odds.
| Account | Size | Max DD | Daily | Profit Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $15K Pro Normal | $15,000 | 5% | 2% | 10% |
| $50K Pro Normal | $50,000 | 5% | 2% | 10% |
| $100K Pro Normal | $100,000 | 5% | 2% | 10% |
| $200K Pro Aggressive | $200,000 | 10% | 5% | 10% |
Rules summarized from publicly published information as of 2026-04-17. Always verify current terms directly with Fidelcrest.
Why most Fidelcrest traders fail
The 5% drawdown ceiling looks generous in isolation. The math says otherwise. At 2% risk per trade, you bust after just 2 consecutive losers. With a 50% win rate, that sequence happens roughly once every 4 trades — and most evaluations require enough activity that you'll see it.
Fidelcrest's static drawdown is more forgiving than trailing rules, but the daily loss limit is the silent killer. Most evaluation failures happen on a single bad day, not from accumulated drawdown.
The fix is structural, not tactical. Reducing risk per trade from 2% to 1% cuts your expected ruin probability by roughly 75%. Reducing it to 0.5% effectively eliminates rule-based failure for most positive-edge strategies.
Run real Monte Carlo simulation
This calculator uses the classical risk of ruin formula. For 10,000-path Monte Carlo Quick Test against real market volatility, with Fidelcrest's drawdown rule applied and the recommended risk level to maximize pass probability, use the iOS app.