Elite Trader Funding Risk of Ruin Calculator
Trailing EOD drawdown math. Calculate the survival odds of your strategy against Elite Trader Funding's 5% drawdown rule before paying the evaluation fee.
Pass your evaluation. Protect your funded account.
Free classic calculator below. For 10,000-path Quick Test against Elite Trader Funding's exact drawdown rule, with the recommended risk level to maximize pass probability, open the app.
Public rules only. Educational, not affiliated with any prop firm. Rules change: verify with your firm before trading.
Your strategy vs Elite Trader Funding's rules
Elite Trader Funding offers 4 sizes from $25,000 to $150,000
Survival grade
B
Ruin probability
7.8%
Losers to bust
5
Your strategy has a positive edge of 25.0% per trade. Survival odds look strong, but Monte Carlo simulation against real market data will give you a more realistic picture.
About Elite Trader Funding's rules
Elite Trader Funding (ETF) is a futures prop firm offering evaluations with trailing end-of-day drawdowns. The EOD measurement is more forgiving than intraday trailing.
Key risk rule
End-of-day trailing rule rewards strategies that close positions before session end. Overnight holds compound trailing risk.
| Account | Size | Max DD | Profit Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| $25K ETF Eval | $25,000 | 6% | 6% |
| $50K ETF Eval | $50,000 | 5% | 6% |
| $100K ETF Eval | $100,000 | 3% | 6% |
| $150K ETF Eval | $150,000 | 3.33% | 6% |
Rules summarized from publicly published information as of 2026-04-17. Always verify current terms directly with Elite Trader Funding.
Why most Elite Trader Funding traders fail
The 5% drawdown ceiling looks generous in isolation. The math says otherwise. At 2% risk per trade, you bust after just 2 consecutive losers. With a 50% win rate, that sequence happens roughly once every 4 trades — and most evaluations require enough activity that you'll see it.
Elite Trader Funding's trailing drawdown makes it worse. Every winning streak permanently raises your floor, so a strategy that nets +5% across volatile swings can fail before reaching the profit target.
The fix is structural, not tactical. Reducing risk per trade from 2% to 1% cuts your expected ruin probability by roughly 75%. Reducing it to 0.5% effectively eliminates rule-based failure for most positive-edge strategies.
Run real Monte Carlo simulation
This calculator uses the classical risk of ruin formula. For 10,000-path Monte Carlo Quick Test against real market volatility, with Elite Trader Funding's drawdown rule applied and the recommended risk level to maximize pass probability, use the iOS app.