The Funded Trader Risk of Ruin Calculator
Survive Standard, Rapid, or Royal. Calculate the survival odds of your strategy against The Funded Trader's 10% drawdown rule before paying the evaluation fee.
Pass your evaluation. Protect your funded account.
Free classic calculator below. For 10,000-path Quick Test against The Funded Trader's exact drawdown rule, with the recommended risk level to maximize pass probability, open the app.
Public rules only. Educational, not affiliated with any prop firm. Rules change: verify with your firm before trading.
Your strategy vs The Funded Trader's rules
The Funded Trader offers 4 sizes from $10,000 to $200,000
Survival grade
A
Ruin probability
0.6%
Losers to bust
10(5 to hit daily)
Your strategy has a positive edge of 25.0% per trade. Survival odds look strong, but Monte Carlo simulation against real market data will give you a more realistic picture.
About The Funded Trader's rules
The Funded Trader (TFT) offers multiple challenge tracks with different drawdown structures. The Standard challenge uses a static drawdown, while the Rapid challenge uses a trailing drawdown until the account scales.
Key risk rule
Different challenge tracks use different drawdown structures. The Rapid program's trailing drawdown is significantly less forgiving than Standard's static rule.
| Account | Size | Max DD | Daily | Profit Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10K Standard | $10,000 | 10% | 5% | 8% |
| $50K Standard | $50,000 | 10% | 5% | 8% |
| $100K Standard | $100,000 | 10% | 5% | 8% |
| $200K Standard | $200,000 | 10% | 5% | 8% |
Rules summarized from publicly published information as of 2026-04-17. Always verify current terms directly with The Funded Trader.
Why most The Funded Trader traders fail
The 10% drawdown ceiling looks generous in isolation. The math says otherwise. At 2% risk per trade, you bust after just 5 consecutive losers. With a 50% win rate, that sequence happens roughly once every 32 trades — and most evaluations require enough activity that you'll see it.
The Funded Trader's static drawdown is more forgiving than trailing rules, but the daily loss limit is the silent killer. Most evaluation failures happen on a single bad day, not from accumulated drawdown.
The fix is structural, not tactical. Reducing risk per trade from 2% to 1% cuts your expected ruin probability by roughly 75%. Reducing it to 0.5% effectively eliminates rule-based failure for most positive-edge strategies.
Run real Monte Carlo simulation
This calculator uses the classical risk of ruin formula. For 10,000-path Monte Carlo Quick Test against real market volatility, with The Funded Trader's drawdown rule applied and the recommended risk level to maximize pass probability, use the iOS app.